Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 24.203005 27.228937 30.420244 34.030327 37.994045 42.206828 47.016223
2024-12-15 20.603125 24.911421 29.725847 35.479532 42.142159 49.587528 58.508712
2024-12-22 17.312301 22.394151 28.385427 35.911412 45.048902 55.716931 69.041875
2024-12-29 15.517510 21.346029 28.557447 38.024728 50.002624 64.520974 83.302184
2025-01-05 13.464962 19.671390 27.717756 38.734361 53.221106 71.399085 95.678445
2025-01-12 11.183708 17.366348 25.766543 37.754420 54.121241 75.351641 104.580083
2025-01-19 9.261898 15.275627 23.829437 36.533300 54.505917 78.555043 112.605351
2025-01-26 8.504536 14.759986 24.005632 38.196628 58.863699 87.219136 128.274435
2025-02-02 8.257420 14.975905 25.237508 41.432720 65.597822 99.447685 149.367968
2025-02-09 7.688576 14.597197 25.512823 43.236660 70.338578 109.099249 167.316597
2025-02-16 6.874943 13.700791 24.876264 43.565168 72.871472 115.681490 181.181200
2025-02-23 5.978706 12.535992 23.676075 42.878551 73.770470 119.869139 191.717103
2025-03-02 5.284946 11.661124 22.898939 42.854558 75.766298 125.898336 205.427330
2025-03-09 4.785724 11.078075 22.554175 43.498536 78.832818 133.663991 222.041164
2025-03-16 4.219441 10.280201 21.741403 43.266277 80.442829 139.244995 235.574001
2025-03-23 4.007603 10.172582 22.170722 45.216718 85.755168 150.828708 258.770621
2025-03-30 3.633292 9.665138 21.793130 45.684871 88.576400 158.562099 276.259523
2025-04-06 3.103820 8.729475 20.482823 44.327355 88.151617 161.009379 285.468324
2025-04-13 2.628717 7.832817 19.141571 42.778107 87.256456 162.591842 293.290630
2025-04-20 2.512255 7.780212 19.529574 44.571151 92.420876 174.446973 318.175335
2025-04-27 2.554511 8.131406 20.800971 48.176792 101.049877 192.448863 353.708816
2025-05-04 2.456865 8.107024 21.254344 50.170903 106.794217 205.731042 381.834500
2025-05-11 2.241976 7.736634 20.906051 50.507352 109.451037 213.787710 401.485699